NCS Standings: Two Weeks to Go

by palmer006

Indiana and Michigan State’s battle firmly entrenched the Hoosiers as the national title frontrunner. In the regular season enhancing season format this site features, their phenomenal job of leading one of the toughest conferences in recent memory by two games would be rewarded with a path to the Final Four that features probably 1, maybe 2 top 30 teams (or think of it as top 7 NCAA seeds in a normal tournament, of which they will have to play 3 if chalk holds in a normal season).

As the regular season draws near, the tension continues to see which squads can hang around the top 30 and a probable bid to the At Large Bracket, which squads will grab a No.1 seed, and which teams can secure at least a share of their regular season conference title. For an explanation of the College basketball enhanced tournament method and the NCS standings, visit the introductory post here.

Rk LW Team NCS AVG Desc
1 1 Indiana 0.9247 Since Duke is just about out of the ACC title race, the Hoosiers could stumble once and still hang onto the inside track for the dual champs #1. Even with a loss in the season and in the conference tournament, a top 3 finish is likely.
2 3 Duke 0.8901 The Blue Devils can only play their game and attempt to ensure a top 3 finish, hopefully as the #1 seed in the weaker tournament bracket if they take the ACC tourney crown
3 5 Gonzaga 0.8484 The Zags are in great position for an dual champs bracket #1 seed even if they stumble once before the conference tourney so long as they win that competition: Indiana faces the Big Ten Tournament, and Duke will not win the ACC regular season title.
4 9 Michigan 0.7740 By attrition, the Wolverines find themselves an outside shot at a top 3 finish and top seed. Even if they fall short of all that, a No.1 seed in the At Large Bracket could still be coming their way.
5 2 Miami FL 0.7586 Thanks to their conference lead, hope is not lost after the Virginia Tech loss: if they rebound they are just third in line behind IU and Gonzaga in the dual champs sweepsteaks should they win out, and still could end up with the at large bracket #1 seed.
6 4 Florida 0.7558 The loss to Mizzou knocks Florida down a peg, but they’re still in the fringe dual champs race and in play for the wide open fourth #1 seed (automatically the at large bracket)
7 8 Kansas 0.7347 Two wins to Louisville’s one helped KU pick up ground in RPI, the Computers, and even some of the committee members’ eyes
8 7 Louisville 0.6619
9 6 Michigan St 0.6379 MSU is at least ensured a top 12 finish even with two losses down the stretch
10 12 Georgetown 0.6092
11 10 Syracuse 0.5478
12 11 Arizona 0.5348
13 13 New Mexico 0.4843 See Memphis
14 15 Kansas St 0.3901
15 14 Ohio St 0.3792
16 20 Wisconsin 0.3374
17 17 Oklahoma St 0.3079
18 23 Memphis 0.2492 Memphis is a solid candidate to pick up a dual championship. If enough BCS conference teams fail to pull off the double, they could face an easy road to an Elite 8 showdown with the Dual Bracket #1 seed
19 18 Marquette 0.2086
20 33 St Louis 0.1591
21 19 Pittsburgh 0.1192
22 16 Colorado St 0.0793
23 32 Notre Dame 0.0750 After two solid wins oer similar Pitt and Marquette, the committe raised its evaluation of ND to catch up with the polls, and their NCS ranking now squares with the poll evaluation
24 21 Butler 0.0348
25 36 UNLV 0.0014 Some recognition at the bottom of the polls was key to UNLV’s rise up the charts
26 22 Minnesota 0.0005
27 24 VCU -0.0058
28 30 Wichita State -0.0442
29 31 San Diego State -0.0445
30 37 St Mary’s CA -0.0751
31 35 Middle Tenn St -0.0886
32 39 North Carolina -0.0911
33 25 NC State -0.0986
34 26 Illinois -0.1140
35 29 Creighton -0.1149
36 28 Oregon -0.1232
37 40 Oklahoma -0.1408
38 41 UCLA -0.1459
39 34 Missouri -0.1565
40 61 Connecticut -0.1717
41 27 Cincinnati -0.1799
42 38 Colorado -0.1847
43 42 Kentucky -0.2047 Despite the Wildcats’ big win over Mizzou, a falling computer profile hurt the Cats as much as the slight bump in the committee helped
44 47 Belmont -0.2158
45 45 Iowa State -0.2252
46 48 Akron -0.2347
47 44 LaSalle -0.2887
48 50 California -0.3019
49 49 Virginia -0.3041
50 43 Ole Miss -0.3185
51 55 Temple -0.3395
52 54 Villanova -0.3565
53 53 Louisiana Tech -0.3751
54 51 Southern Miss -0.3788
55 63 Bucknell -0.4276
56 46 Baylor -0.4348
57 52 Maryland -0.4412
58 57 BYU -0.5121
59 62 Stephen F. Austin -0.5385
60 56 Arizona State -0.5611
61 64 Arkansas -0.5874
62 58 Alabama -0.5875
63 59 St. John’s -0.6470
64 60 Indiana State -0.6917
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