NCS Standings: Two Weeks to Go
by palmer006
Indiana and Michigan State’s battle firmly entrenched the Hoosiers as the national title frontrunner. In the regular season enhancing season format this site features, their phenomenal job of leading one of the toughest conferences in recent memory by two games would be rewarded with a path to the Final Four that features probably 1, maybe 2 top 30 teams (or think of it as top 7 NCAA seeds in a normal tournament, of which they will have to play 3 if chalk holds in a normal season).
As the regular season draws near, the tension continues to see which squads can hang around the top 30 and a probable bid to the At Large Bracket, which squads will grab a No.1 seed, and which teams can secure at least a share of their regular season conference title. For an explanation of the College basketball enhanced tournament method and the NCS standings, visit the introductory post here.
| Rk | LW | Team | NCS AVG | Desc |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Indiana | 0.9247 | Since Duke is just about out of the ACC title race, the Hoosiers could stumble once and still hang onto the inside track for the dual champs #1. Even with a loss in the season and in the conference tournament, a top 3 finish is likely. |
| 2 | 3 | Duke | 0.8901 | The Blue Devils can only play their game and attempt to ensure a top 3 finish, hopefully as the #1 seed in the weaker tournament bracket if they take the ACC tourney crown |
| 3 | 5 | Gonzaga | 0.8484 | The Zags are in great position for an dual champs bracket #1 seed even if they stumble once before the conference tourney so long as they win that competition: Indiana faces the Big Ten Tournament, and Duke will not win the ACC regular season title. |
| 4 | 9 | Michigan | 0.7740 | By attrition, the Wolverines find themselves an outside shot at a top 3 finish and top seed. Even if they fall short of all that, a No.1 seed in the At Large Bracket could still be coming their way. |
| 5 | 2 | Miami FL | 0.7586 | Thanks to their conference lead, hope is not lost after the Virginia Tech loss: if they rebound they are just third in line behind IU and Gonzaga in the dual champs sweepsteaks should they win out, and still could end up with the at large bracket #1 seed. |
| 6 | 4 | Florida | 0.7558 | The loss to Mizzou knocks Florida down a peg, but they’re still in the fringe dual champs race and in play for the wide open fourth #1 seed (automatically the at large bracket) |
| 7 | 8 | Kansas | 0.7347 | Two wins to Louisville’s one helped KU pick up ground in RPI, the Computers, and even some of the committee members’ eyes |
| 8 | 7 | Louisville | 0.6619 | |
| 9 | 6 | Michigan St | 0.6379 | MSU is at least ensured a top 12 finish even with two losses down the stretch |
| 10 | 12 | Georgetown | 0.6092 | |
| 11 | 10 | Syracuse | 0.5478 | |
| 12 | 11 | Arizona | 0.5348 | |
| 13 | 13 | New Mexico | 0.4843 | See Memphis |
| 14 | 15 | Kansas St | 0.3901 | |
| 15 | 14 | Ohio St | 0.3792 | |
| 16 | 20 | Wisconsin | 0.3374 | |
| 17 | 17 | Oklahoma St | 0.3079 | |
| 18 | 23 | Memphis | 0.2492 | Memphis is a solid candidate to pick up a dual championship. If enough BCS conference teams fail to pull off the double, they could face an easy road to an Elite 8 showdown with the Dual Bracket #1 seed |
| 19 | 18 | Marquette | 0.2086 | |
| 20 | 33 | St Louis | 0.1591 | |
| 21 | 19 | Pittsburgh | 0.1192 | |
| 22 | 16 | Colorado St | 0.0793 | |
| 23 | 32 | Notre Dame | 0.0750 | After two solid wins oer similar Pitt and Marquette, the committe raised its evaluation of ND to catch up with the polls, and their NCS ranking now squares with the poll evaluation |
| 24 | 21 | Butler | 0.0348 | |
| 25 | 36 | UNLV | 0.0014 | Some recognition at the bottom of the polls was key to UNLV’s rise up the charts |
| 26 | 22 | Minnesota | 0.0005 | |
| 27 | 24 | VCU | -0.0058 | |
| 28 | 30 | Wichita State | -0.0442 | |
| 29 | 31 | San Diego State | -0.0445 | |
| 30 | 37 | St Mary’s CA | -0.0751 | |
| 31 | 35 | Middle Tenn St | -0.0886 | |
| 32 | 39 | North Carolina | -0.0911 | |
| 33 | 25 | NC State | -0.0986 | |
| 34 | 26 | Illinois | -0.1140 | |
| 35 | 29 | Creighton | -0.1149 | |
| 36 | 28 | Oregon | -0.1232 | |
| 37 | 40 | Oklahoma | -0.1408 | |
| 38 | 41 | UCLA | -0.1459 | |
| 39 | 34 | Missouri | -0.1565 | |
| 40 | 61 | Connecticut | -0.1717 | |
| 41 | 27 | Cincinnati | -0.1799 | |
| 42 | 38 | Colorado | -0.1847 | |
| 43 | 42 | Kentucky | -0.2047 | Despite the Wildcats’ big win over Mizzou, a falling computer profile hurt the Cats as much as the slight bump in the committee helped |
| 44 | 47 | Belmont | -0.2158 | |
| 45 | 45 | Iowa State | -0.2252 | |
| 46 | 48 | Akron | -0.2347 | |
| 47 | 44 | LaSalle | -0.2887 | |
| 48 | 50 | California | -0.3019 | |
| 49 | 49 | Virginia | -0.3041 | |
| 50 | 43 | Ole Miss | -0.3185 | |
| 51 | 55 | Temple | -0.3395 | |
| 52 | 54 | Villanova | -0.3565 | |
| 53 | 53 | Louisiana Tech | -0.3751 | |
| 54 | 51 | Southern Miss | -0.3788 | |
| 55 | 63 | Bucknell | -0.4276 | |
| 56 | 46 | Baylor | -0.4348 | |
| 57 | 52 | Maryland | -0.4412 | |
| 58 | 57 | BYU | -0.5121 | |
| 59 | 62 | Stephen F. Austin | -0.5385 | |
| 60 | 56 | Arizona State | -0.5611 | |
| 61 | 64 | Arkansas | -0.5874 | |
| 62 | 58 | Alabama | -0.5875 | |
| 63 | 59 | St. John’s | -0.6470 | |
| 64 | 60 | Indiana State | -0.6917 |
